July 21, 2010 - Obama Approval Drops To Lowest Point Ever, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Independent Voters Turn On President Since Honeymoon
A year after President Barack Obama's political honeymoon ended, his job approval rating has dropped to a negative 44 - 48 percent, his worst net score ever, and American voters say by a narrow 39 - 36 percent margin that they would vote for an unnamed Republican rather than President Obama in 2012, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to a 48 - 43 percent approval for Obama in a May 26 national poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University and a 57 - 33 percent approval last July, just before the political firestorm created by opposition to his health care plan galvanized political opponents and turned independent voters against him.
In this latest survey of more than 2,000 voters, independent voters disapprove of Obama 52 - 38 percent and say 37 - 27 percent they would vote for a Republican contender in 2012.
American voters also say 48 - 40 percent Obama does not deserve reelection in 2012.
Anti-incumbent sentiment slams both parties as voters disapprove 59 - 31 percent of the job Democrats are doing, and disapprove 59 - 29 percent of Republicans in Congress. But voters say 43 - 38 percent they would vote for a Republican in a generic Congressional race.
American voters say 42 - 32 percent that Obama has been a better president than George W. Bush, similar to the 43 - 30 percent who felt that way in January of 2010.
"It was a year ago, during the summer of 2009 that America's love affair with President Barack Obama began to wane. In July of 2009, the President had a 57 - 33 percent approval rating. Today, his support among Democrats remains strong, but the disillusionment among independent voters, who dropped from 52 - 37 percent approval to 52 - 38 percent disapproval in the last 12 months, is what leads to his weakness overall when voters start thinking about 2012," said Peter A. Brown., assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
"In politics a month is a lifetime and we have 28 months until November of 2012. But politicians with re-elect numbers at 40 percent bear watching," Brown added.
American voters like Obama more than Sarah Palin, giving him a 49 - 45 percent favorability, while she gets a negative 35 - 49 percent.
Michelle Obama does much better, with a 55 - 19 percent favorability.
Twelve percent of voters say they are more likely to support a candidate for office, if Obama campaigns for the candidate, compared to 16 percent if Palin campaigns.
The country would be better off if John McCain had won the 2008 election, 37 percent of voters say, while 35 percent say the U.S. would be worse off. This compares to 37 - 35 percent who thought in January the U.S. would be worse off under McCain.
Asked to describe their feelings toward the President, 17 percent say they admire him; 33 percent are satisfied; 33 percent are dissatisfied and 15 percent are angry with him.
"The Republican tilt of the electorate little more than 100 days before the 2010 election is evident, but not overwhelming. Republicans hold a 43 - 38 percent lead on the 'generic ballot,' compared to a 42 - 34 percent Democratic lead in July 2009," said Brown. "What a difference a year makes."
Voter approval of the President's handling of some of the nation's problems shows:
•Disapprove 56 - 39 percent of his handling of the economy;
•Disapprove 46 - 43 percent of his handling of foreign policy;
•Disapprove 51 - 41 percent of his handling of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill;
•Disapprove 58 - 30 percent of his handling of illegal immigration;
•Approve 46 - 34 percent of his nomination of Elena Kagan to the Supreme Court.
"The massive disapproval of his handling of illegal immigration stems from voter opposition to his decision to have the government ask the federal courts to throw out the Arizona law. They say 60 - 28 percent the lawsuit is a bad idea," said Brown.
Support for the war in Afghanistan hit a new low with 48 percent saying it was the right thing to do and 43 percent saying America should not be involved. That's not much different from May's 49 - 42 percent support, but markedly down from 56 - 36 percent in April.
From July 13 - 19, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,181 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.1 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.
1. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for Barack Obama the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Obama 36% 4% 79% 27% 31% 40% 28% 87% 49%
Republican 39 82 7 37 43 35 46 2 26
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 13 8 6 21 14 13 14 3 13
DK/NA 12 5 8 16 12 12 12 8 12
AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL.........
18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con
Obama 34% 40% 33% 40% 36% 31% 76% 43% 12%
Republican 37 36 43 33 44 43 10 28 64
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 15 12 13 14 11 15 6 15 13
DK/NA 14 11 11 13 9 11 7 14 11
WHITE.............
NoColl Coll BrnAgn
Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath
Obama 35% 39% 15% 21% 25%
Republican 41 35 66 53 47
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 13 14 13 14 15
DK/NA 12 12 7 11 13
TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for Barack Obama the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?
Jul 21 Mar 25
2010 2010
Obama 36 40
Republican 39 41
DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 13 9
DK/NA 12 9
2. If the 2010 election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Republican 43% 89% 5% 44% 48% 39% 50% 3% 27%
Democrat 38 3 84 29 35 41 31 83 55
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 2 1 1 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 - 1 - 1
DK/NA 16 7 10 24 14 18 17 13 16
AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL.........
18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con
Republican 42% 42% 45% 37% 52% 48% 9% 33% 70%
Democrat 41 40 37 42 39 35 76 46 15
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 -
DK/NA 15 16 15 19 8 14 13 18 14
WHITE.............
NoColl Coll BrnAgn
Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath
Republican 44% 42% 68% 60% 52%
Democrat 37 42 16 24 28
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 -
DK/NA 17 14 14 14 19
TREND: If the 2010 election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?
Jul 21 May 26 Mar 24 Jul 2 Jun 4 Apr 29
2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009
Republican 43 36 44 34 32 34
Democrat 38 42 39 42 42 41
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 1 2 2 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1
DK/NA 16 18 16 21 22 22
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve 44% 12% 78% 38% 39% 48% 37% 91% 52%
Disapprove 48 82 13 52 53 43 55 2 37
DK/NA 8 6 9 10 8 9 8 7 12
AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL.........
18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con
Approve 48% 46% 39% 49% 41% 41% 79% 55% 16%
Disapprove 44 44 54 42 51 54 14 36 76
DK/NA 8 10 7 10 8 5 7 9 8
WHITE.............
NoColl Coll BrnAgn
Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath
Approve 41% 50% 19% 28% 37%
Disapprove 49 44 73 64 58
DK/NA 9 6 8 8 5
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? (*High also 59% Mar 2009 / **Low also 44% Apr 2010)
PstHlth PreHlth APPROVE.......
VtPoll VtPoll High Low
Jul 21 May 26 Apr 21 Mar 25 Mar 25 Jun 4 Jul 21
2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009* 2010**
Approve 44 48 44 45 46 59 44
Disapprove 48 43 46 46 49 31 48
DK/NA 8 9 10 9 6 10 8
INDEPENDENTS..........................................
PstHlth PreHlth APPROVE.......
VtPoll VtPoll High Low
Jul 21 May 26 Apr 21 Mar 25 Mar 25 Jun 4 Dec 9
2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009
Approve 38 43 38 40 40 57 37
Disapprove 52 48 50 44 53 30 51
DK/NA 10 9 12 15 7 13 11
INDEPENDENTS FULL TREND TABLE........
App Dis DK/NA
Jul 21, 2010 38 52 10
May 26, 2010 43 48 9
Apr 21, 2010 38 50 12
Mar 25, 2010 40 44 15 Post Hlthcare vote
Mar 25, 2010 40 53 7 Pre Hlthcare vote
Feb 11, 2010 40 49 10
Jan 13, 2010 42 48 10
Dec 23, 2009 41 46 13
Dec 09, 2009 37 51 11
Nov 18, 2009 43 46 11
Oct 08, 2009 45 44 11
Aug 06, 2009 45 45 10
Jul 02, 2009 52 37 11
Jun 04, 2009 57 30 13
Apr 29, 2009 53 33 14
Apr 01, 2009 56 32 12
Mar 04, 2009 53 26 20
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve 31% 11% 62% 21% 26% 35% 26% 65% 36%
Disapprove 59 82 28 69 68 52 65 22 45
DK/NA 10 7 9 10 6 13 8 13 20
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
PstHlth PreHlth APPROVE.......
VtPoll VtPoll High Low
Jul 21 May 26 Mar 25 Mar 25 Feb 11 Mar 4 Mar 25
2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2010
Approve 31 34 36 30 28 45 30
Disapprove 59 57 55 62 63 45 62
DK/NA 10 9 9 8 9 10 8
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve 29% 52% 19% 24% 28% 30% 29% 27% 32%
Disapprove 59 35 72 65 64 55 60 58 54
DK/NA 12 13 9 11 8 15 11 16 14
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
PstHlth PreHlth APPROVE.......
VtPoll VtPoll High Low
Jul 21 May 26 Mar 25 Mar 25 Feb 11 Mar 25 Oct 8
2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009
Approve 29 26 34 31 28 34 25
Disapprove 59 62 58 60 61 58 64
DK/NA 12 11 8 9 11 8 11
6. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Yes/deserves 40% 7% 78% 34% 35% 44% 33% 86% 50%
No/does not 48 85 10 52 54 42 55 3 36
DK/NA 12 9 12 13 11 14 12 11 14
AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL.........
18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con
Yes/deserves 42% 43% 36% 46% 39% 33% 80% 48% 15%
No/does not 46 43 54 43 52 52 13 36 76
DK/NA 12 13 11 12 9 15 7 16 10
WHITE.............
NoColl Coll BrnAgn
Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath
Yes/deserves 37% 46% 18% 25% 29%
No/does not 50 42 73 63 57
DK/NA 13 12 9 12 13
TREND: Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
Jul 21 Mar 25
2010 2010
Yes/deserves 40 40
No/does not 48 48
DK/NA 12 11
7. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Very satisfied 3% 1% 7% 2% 4% 3% 2% 11% 4%
Smwht satisfied 24 9 45 20 22 26 21 50 32
Smwht dissatisfied 29 26 30 29 28 29 29 24 27
Very dissatisfied 42 63 16 49 45 40 47 11 35
DK/NA 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 3 2
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
VERY+SMWHT SAT
High Low
Jul 21 May 26 Apr 21 Mar 25 Mar 24 Dec 11 Nov 13
2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2001 2008
Very satisfied 3 3 3 4 3 21 2
Smwht satisfied 24 26 28 25 26 47 14
Smwht dissatisfied 29 31 29 28 29 19 38
Very dissatisfied 42 39 40 41 41 10 44
DK/NA 1 1 - 2 1 3 2
8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the economy?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve 39% 10% 74% 34% 36% 42% 33% 79% 55%
Disapprove 56 87 22 61 59 53 62 12 43
DK/NA 5 3 4 6 5 5 5 9 1
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? (*Low also 39% Mar 2010)
APPROVE......
High Low
Jul 21 May 26 Apr 21 Mar 25 Feb 11 Mar 4 Jul 21
2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2010*
Approve 39 44 40 39 41 57 39
Disapprove 56 50 55 57 54 33 56
DK/NA 5 6 5 5 5 10 5
9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - foreign policy?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve 43% 14% 76% 37% 40% 45% 38% 72% 54%
Disapprove 46 72 15 52 52 40 52 10 30
DK/NA 12 13 9 11 8 15 10 18 16
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling foreign policy?
APPROVE.......
High Low
Jul 21 May 26 Apr 22 Mar 25 Feb 10 Apr 29 Jul 21
2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2010
Approve 43 48 48 46 46 57 43
Disapprove 46 43 42 43 43 32 46
DK/NA 12 9 10 12 11 11 12
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the situation in Afghanistan?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve 43% 24% 62% 43% 44% 42% 40% 68% 49%
Disapprove 46 66 27 47 47 45 51 16 37
DK/NA 11 10 11 10 9 14 10 16 14
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the situation in Afghanistan?
APPROVE.......
High Low
Jul 21 May 26 Apr 22 Mar 25 Feb 10 Mar 25 Nov 18
2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009
Approve 43 45 49 52 51 52 38
Disapprove 46 40 39 36 39 36 49
DK/NA 11 14 12 12 10 12 12
11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve 41% 20% 67% 35% 39% 42% 37% 72% 41%
Disapprove 51 72 26 56 53 50 55 17 54
DK/NA 8 8 7 9 8 8 8 11 5
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico?
Jul 21 Jun 1
2010 2010
Approve 41 39
Disapprove 51 42
DK/NA 8 19
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - illegal immigration?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve 30% 12% 57% 23% 27% 33% 25% 67% 38%
Disapprove 58 82 28 65 64 53 65 14 44
DK/NA 12 7 14 12 9 14 10 19 18
13. Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama's nomination of Elena Kagan to the Supreme Court?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve 46% 21% 74% 43% 44% 48% 44% 64% 52%
Disapprove 34 57 10 35 38 30 37 9 26
DK/NA 20 21 16 23 18 23 20 27 22
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama's nomination of Elena Kagan to the Supreme Court?
Jul 21 May 26
2010 2010
Approve 46 48
Disapprove 34 30
DK/NA 20 22
14. Is your opinion of - the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Favorable 33% 73% 10% 28% 35% 32% 37% 9% 29%
Unfavorable 42 15 62 44 44 40 42 45 36
Hvn't hrd enough 21 10 26 23 17 24 17 40 32
REFUSED 4 2 2 6 4 4 4 6 3
AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL.........
18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con
Favorable 38% 31% 33% 28% 39% 37% 11% 25% 52%
Unfavorable 34 46 43 38 43 52 68 49 23
Hvn't hrd enough 27 19 19 29 14 8 19 22 20
REFUSED 1 4 6 4 3 3 3 4 5
WHITE.............
NoColl Coll BrnAgn
Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath
Favorable 34% 31% 49% 41% 41%
Unfavorable 37 56 30 39 36
Hvn't hrd enough 25 9 17 15 19
REFUSED 4 4 5 5 3
TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? (*Low also 25% Jul 2009)
FAVORABLE....
High Low
Jul 21 Apr 21 Mar 24 Nov 19 Oct 8 Nov 12 Oct 8
2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2008 2009*
Favorable 33 33 33 28 25 36 25
Unfavorable 42 47 42 53 53 52 53
Hvn't hrd enough 21 15 21 16 18 7 18
REFUSED 4 4 4 4 4 5 4
15. Is your opinion of - the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Favorable 34% 7% 72% 24% 29% 38% 30% 63% 40%
Unfavorable 49 81 12 55 57 41 55 11 34
Hvn't hrd enough 14 11 14 15 11 18 12 24 24
REFUSED 3 1 2 5 3 4 3 3 2
AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL.........
18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con
Favorable 37% 35% 32% 36% 35% 32% 66% 44% 9%
Unfavorable 41 49 52 40 54 60 19 40 72
Hvn't hrd enough 20 13 12 21 7 5 12 13 16
REFUSED 2 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
WHITE.............
NoColl Coll BrnAgn
Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath
Favorable 32% 38% 17% 23% 27%
Unfavorable 48 52 69 62 60
Hvn't hrd enough 17 7 11 12 11
REFUSED 3 4 3 4 2
TREND: Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it?
FAVORABLE.....
High Low
Jul 21 Apr 21 Mar 24 Nov 19 Oct 8 Nov 12 Mar 24
2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2008 2010
Favorable 34 32 33 39 38 55 33
Unfavorable 49 52 48 46 46 35 48
Hvn't hrd enough 14 12 17 13 13 6 17
REFUSED 3 3 2 2 3 4 2
16. Is your opinion of - the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Favorable 33% 53% 8% 39% 39% 27% 36% 8% 29%
Unfavorable 31 12 50 28 31 31 30 39 27
Hvn't hrd enough 35 34 41 31 29 41 32 53 43
REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 - 1
AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL.........
18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con
Favorable 26% 33% 35% 29% 35% 31% 8% 22% 55%
Unfavorable 28 34 30 28 34 42 57 41 10
Hvn't hrd enough 44 32 34 42 30 26 34 35 33
REFUSED 1 1 1 1 2 1 - 2 1
WHITE.............
NoColl Coll BrnAgn
Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath
Favorable 34% 29% 50% 45% 36%
Unfavorable 25 47 14 24 33
Hvn't hrd enough 40 22 36 30 30
REFUSED 1 2 - 1 1
TREND: Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
Jul 21 Apr 21 Mar 24
2010 2010 2010
Favorable 33 32 28
Unfavorable 31 31 23
Hvn't hrd enough 35 34 49
REFUSED 1 2 1
17. Is your opinion of - Sarah Palin favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Favorable 35% 66% 13% 33% 37% 33% 38% 21% 22%
Unfavorable 49 18 73 50 47 52 48 57 57
Hvn't hrd enough 14 15 13 14 15 13 12 21 20
REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 1
AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL.........
18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con
Favorable 30% 35% 39% 34% 36% 31% 16% 21% 57%
Unfavorable 55 51 44 48 54 57 73 65 24
Hvn't hrd enough 14 13 14 17 8 10 10 12 17
REFUSED 1 2 3 1 1 2 1 1 2
WHITE.............
NoColl Coll BrnAgn
Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath
Favorable 38% 26% 56% 45% 38%
Unfavorable 44 64 29 39 46
Hvn't hrd enough 16 8 13 13 14
REFUSED 2 2 2 2 2
TREND: Is your opinion of Sarah Palin favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about her?
Jul 21 Mar 24 Sep 18
2010 2010 2008
Favorable 35 33 37
Unfavorable 49 51 30
Hvn't hrd enough 14 14 31
REFUSED 2 2 2
18. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Favorable 49% 15% 86% 44% 44% 53% 42% 92% 58%
Unfavorable 45 82 9 48 51 40 52 2 37
Hvn't hrd enough 4 2 3 5 4 5 4 5 3
REFUSED 2 1 1 3 2 2 2 1 2
AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL.........
18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con
Favorable 54% 52% 42% 55% 48% 46% 84% 61% 21%
Unfavorable 42 42 51 39 49 51 11 32 75
Hvn't hrd enough 4 4 5 5 3 1 4 5 3
REFUSED - 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 2
WHITE.............
NoColl Coll BrnAgn
Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath
Favorable 46% 56% 23% 33% 41%
Unfavorable 47 41 70 61 55
Hvn't hrd enough 5 2 5 5 3
REFUSED 2 1 2 2 2
TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about him?
FAVORABLE.....
High Low
Jul 21 Mar 25 Nov 19 Oct 8 Jul 2 Nov 12 Feb 21
2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2008 2007
Favorable 49 47 50 53 58 67 44
Unfavorable 45 47 38 37 30 19 14
Hvn't hrd enough 4 4 9 8 10 11 40
REFUSED 2 1 2 2 2 3 1
19. Is your opinion of - Michelle Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Favorable 55% 30% 82% 52% 48% 61% 52% 86% 54%
Unfavorable 19 37 4 19 22 17 22 2 10
Hvn't hrd enough 23 30 13 26 28 19 23 12 34
REFUSED 3 3 1 4 3 3 3 1 2
AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL.........
18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con
Favorable 55% 58% 52% 58% 54% 56% 84% 68% 29%
Unfavorable 17 17 21 16 21 17 3 11 34
Hvn't hrd enough 25 23 22 23 22 23 12 19 32
REFUSED 3 2 4 3 3 4 1 3 4
WHITE.............
NoColl Coll BrnAgn
Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath
Favorable 52% 64% 38% 45% 51%
Unfavorable 19 17 29 27 21
Hvn't hrd enough 26 17 29 24 26
REFUSED 3 2 4 4 2
TREND: Is your opinion of Michelle Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
Jul 21 Nov 12
2010 2008
Favorable 55 50
Unfavorable 19 17
Hvn't hrd enough 23 31
REFUSED 3 3
20. If Barack Obama campaigns for a candidate running for public office, would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it make a difference?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
More likely 12% 1% 28% 8% 12% 12% 9% 27% 19%
Less likely 30 57 8 30 35 25 34 5 20
No difference 57 41 62 60 52 60 55 68 58
DK/NA 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 - 2
21. If Sarah Palin campaigns for a candidate running for public office, would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote for that candidate, or wouldn't it make a difference?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
More likely 16% 36% 3% 15% 17% 16% 19% 2% 14%
Less likely 34 8 57 31 32 35 32 42 40
No difference 48 54 38 52 50 47 47 53 45
DK/NA 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 2
24. Do you consider yourself part of the Tea party movement or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Yes 12% 21% 3% 14% 14% 10% 13% 3% 11%
No 81 71 87 81 80 81 80 85 81
DK/NA 7 8 10 4 6 9 7 11 8
AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL.........
18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con
Yes 8% 12% 15% 12% 13% 7% 3% 7% 22%
No 84 80 79 80 79 91 90 86 70
DK/NA 8 8 6 9 7 2 7 6 8
WHITE.............
NoColl Coll BrnAgn
Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath
Yes 14% 8% 22% 18% 13%
No 77 90 69 76 83
DK/NA 9 3 9 6 5
TREND: Do you consider yourself part of the Tea Party movement or not?
Jul 21 Apr 21 Mar 24
2010 2010 2010
Yes 12 15 13
No 81 79 80
DK/NA 7 6 6
25. Do you think Barack Obama has been a better President than George W. Bush, worse, or about the same as President Bush?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Better 42% 7% 78% 38% 38% 45% 37% 78% 47%
Worse 32 65 5 33 34 31 37 2 23
About the same 23 27 15 26 26 21 24 18 28
DK/NA 3 2 2 3 2 4 2 2 2
AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL.........
18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con
Better 44% 44% 38% 46% 39% 41% 81% 50% 15%
Worse 26 29 38 26 34 37 5 18 59
About the same 28 24 20 25 25 22 12 29 24
DK/NA 2 2 3 4 1 - 2 3 3
WHITE.............
NoColl Coll BrnAgn
Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath
Better 39% 50% 19% 27% 33%
Worse 34 27 56 45 39
About the same 24 22 22 25 26
DK/NA 3 2 3 3 2
TREND: Do you think Barack Obama has been a better President than George W. Bush, worse, or about the same as President Bush?
Jul 21 Jan 13
2010 2010
Better 42 43
Worse 32 30
About the same 23 23
DK/NA 3 4
26. In the Presidential election of 2008, if John McCain had become President instead of Barack Obama, do you think that, in general, the nation would be better off than it is today or worse off than it is today?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Better off 37% 71% 9% 38% 39% 36% 43% 5% 29%
Worse off 35 6 70 29 33 37 31 66 42
SAME(VOL) 15 10 11 19 17 12 14 15 15
DK/NA 13 13 10 15 10 15 12 14 14
AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL.........
18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con
Better off 36% 36% 40% 32% 41% 42% 9% 27% 61%
Worse off 37 35 35 40 34 34 72 43 11
SAME(VOL) 18 15 11 16 15 14 10 17 15
DK/NA 10 14 13 13 10 10 9 13 13
WHITE.............
NoColl Coll BrnAgn
Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath
Better off 38% 35% 57% 51% 47%
Worse off 33 41 16 22 28
SAME(VOL) 15 13 15 14 11
DK/NA 13 11 11 13 14
TREND: In the Presidential election of 2008, if John McCain had become President instead of Barack Obama, do you think that, in general, the nation would be better off than it is today or worse off than it is today?
Jul 21 Jan 13
2010 2010
Better off 37 35
Worse off 35 37
SAME(VOL) 15 17
DK/NA 13 11
27. How would you describe your feelings toward President Obama: admire, satisfied, dissatisfied, or angry?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Admire 17% 3% 33% 14% 14% 19% 13% 43% 25%
Satisfied 33 13 54 31 31 36 31 53 35
Dissatisfied 33 54 10 35 36 29 36 2 30
Angry 15 28 2 18 17 14 18 - 10
DK/NA 2 1 1 3 2 3 2 2 -
TREND: How would you describe your feelings toward President Obama: admire, satisfied, dissatisfied, or angry?
Jul 21 Jan 13
2010 2010
Admire 17 19
Satisfied 33 34
Dissatisfied 33 30
Angry 15 15
DK/NA 2 2
40. Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Doing right thing 48% 62% 34% 51% 55% 42% 51% 26% 42%
Shldn't be involved 43 30 59 39 39 47 40 65 52
DK/NA 9 7 7 9 6 11 9 9 7
AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL.........
18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con
Doing right thing 46% 53% 45% 41% 55% 63% 34% 51% 55%
Shldn't be involved 46 40 44 49 39 33 55 43 37
DK/NA 8 7 11 10 5 4 11 6 8
WHITE.............
NoColl Coll BrnAgn
Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath
Doing right thing 47% 53% 55% 54% 59%
Shldn't be involved 44 41 35 37 34
DK/NA 10 6 10 9 7
TREND: Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now? (*Low also 48% Nov 2009)
RIGHT THING...
High Low
Jul 21 May 26 Apr 22 Mar 25 Feb 10 Jan 14 Jul 21
2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010*
Right thing 48 49 56 55 56 59 48
Shouldn't be inv 43 42 36 37 37 35 43
DK/NA 9 9 8 8 7 6 9
41. Do you think eliminating the threat from terrorists operating from Afghanistan is a worthwhile goal for American troops to fight and possibly die for or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Yes 59% 72% 47% 62% 65% 53% 63% 44% 47%
No 34 22 46 32 30 37 31 45 45
DK/NA 7 6 8 6 5 10 6 11 8
TREND: Do you think eliminating the threat from terrorists operating from Afghanistan is a worthwhile goal for American troops to fight and possibly die for or not?
Jul 21 Apr 22 Dec 8 Nov 18 Oct 7
2010 2010 2009 2009 2009
Yes 59 61 64 65 65
No 34 31 30 29 28
DK/NA 7 8 6 7 7
42. Do you think the United States will be successful in eliminating the threat from terrorists operating from Afghanistan or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Yes 35% 45% 30% 34% 37% 34% 35% 32% 47%
No 55 46 60 57 56 55 55 58 49
DK/NA 9 9 10 9 8 11 10 9 3
TREND: Do you think the United States will be successful in eliminating the threat from terrorists operating from Afghanistan or not?
Jul 21 Dec 8 Nov 18 Oct 7
2010 2009 2009 2009
Yes 35 38 36 38
No 55 52 53 49
DK/NA 9 11 11 13
43. Do you think immigration reform should primarily move in the direction of integrating illegal immigrants into American society or in the direction of stricter enforcement of laws against illegal immigration?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Integrating 22% 8% 36% 22% 20% 24% 19% 24% 59%
Enforcement 69 85 54 71 72 66 73 66 32
DK/NA 8 7 10 7 7 9 8 10 9
TREND: Do you think immigration reform should primarily move in the direction of integrating illegal immigrants into American society or in the direction of stricter enforcement of laws against illegal immigration?
Jul 21 Jun 1
2010 2010
Integrating 22 26
Enforcement 69 66
DK/NA 8 8
44. Based on what you've heard or read, do you approve or disapprove of Arizona's new immigration law?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve 55% 72% 33% 60% 62% 48% 61% 29% 27%
Disapprove 30 15 49 26 28 32 24 41 66
DK/NA 15 13 18 14 9 21 15 30 7
TREND: Based on what you've heard or read, do you approve or disapprove of Arizona's new immigration law?
Jul 21 Jun 1
2010 2010
Approve 55 51
Disapprove 30 31
DK/NA 15 18
45. Would you want your state to pass a law similar to Arizona's new immigration law or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Yes 51% 71% 30% 55% 59% 44% 58% 24% 24%
No 35 17 55 33 33 37 30 48 71
DK/NA 14 11 16 12 8 19 13 27 6
TREND: Would you want your state to pass a law similar to Arizona's new immigration law or not?
Jul 21 Jun 1
2010 2010
Yes 51 48
No 35 35
DK/NA 14 17
46. The Obama administration has filed a lawsuit to strike down Arizona's immigration law. Do you think this lawsuit is a good idea or a bad idea?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Good idea 28% 11% 48% 25% 26% 29% 22% 49% 62%
Bad idea 60 81 35 65 66 54 68 23 29
DK/NA 12 8 17 10 8 17 11 28 9
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